Tag: 龙凤网

Theres Not Much Evidence A New Coach Will Help The Jets 49ers

It’s Black Monday — the day after the NFL’s regular season concludes — when 20 to 25 percent of teams (usually of the non-playoff-bound variety) have historically begun their offseason by firing (or otherwise parting ways with) their head coaches. This year, the New York Jets have fired Rex Ryan, Mike Smith is out in Atlanta and Jim Harbaugh left the San Francisco 49ers in a mutual split. Further changes may be coming.Teams don’t take these coaching changes lightly, but for all the focus on the coaching carousel, it’s been difficult for researchers to figure out how much who’s wearing the headset matters.Teams that change coaches have a strong tendency to improve the following season, which could be taken as prima facie evidence that swapping in a new coach makes a profound difference. But it also could simply be the residue of regression to the mean. A poor record is generally required for a team to consider dismissing its coach, but much of the differences in NFL team records is due to luck and not the comparative skill levels of the teams themselves. When that luck evens out, the team appears to improve, even if its underlying skill didn’t change all that much.And this phenomena is essentially what the research on NFL coaching changes has found. Although the average team to change coaches since 1994 has seen its winning percentage improve from .383 to .428 the next season, that’s mostly regression to the mean at work. In fact, once we account for the teams’ previous Elo ratings and the inexorable pull that a .500 record exerts on NFL teams from year to year, there’s little evidence that changing coaches helps teams at all.The aforementioned sample of teams had an average Elo rating of 1437 at the end of the regular season with their old coach, which tends to translate to a .463 winning percentage the following year whether a team changes coaches or not. But the season after making the change, those teams averaged a .428 winning percentage — about 35 points lower than we’d have expected based on their previous Elo ratings. This may speak to broader institutional issues that are correlated with coaching changes but beyond the influence of the coach himself, such as dysfunctional ownership, a poor general manager or players who consistently win less than point-differential-based metrics would predict.These types of findings lend credence to the theory that NFL coaching changes offer franchises little more than the illusion of control over their future. While it may feel satisfying to fans and owners to fire a coach after a disappointing season, it’s tough to quantify the real benefits of such a move — if any even exist. read more

Why Gonzaga Not Kentucky May Be The Tournaments Luckiest Team

Texas Tech863-5 Syracuse100-1 Villanova515050-1 Chances based on BPIDifferences may not add up exactly due to roundingSource: ESPN Stats & Information Group West Virginia857-2 Loyola-Chicago102+1 Chances of making Final Four Gonzaga9%23%28%+20 Nevada2120 Purdue323025-8 Texas A&M2220 Kansas St.104+4 Duke423749+7 Kansas172319+2 Gonzaga’s good luck has gotten even betterChances of making the Final Four for 2018 Sweet 16 teams before the bracket was released, after the bracket was released and if we had known each team’s opponents this far in the tournament before it began Kentucky is the envy of the college basketball world for its soft Sweet 16 landing in a region that is suddenly without any of its top-four seeds. But if we’re looking for the luckiest team in the NCAA Tournament this year, a case can be made that it’s not the Wildcats. It’s Gonzaga.That’s not to say that Kentucky hasn’t been fortunate. John Calipari’s perennial powerhouse entered the tournament with just a 2 percent chance to reach the Final Four, per ESPN’s Basketball Power Index, and an 8 percent chance based on FiveThirtyEight’s projections. Looking at each model now,1BPI is one ingredient in the FiveThirtyEight projection cocktail. that number has ballooned to 45 percent on BPI and 57 percent on FiveThirtyEight. Part of that increase is because of the strong teams in the region that fell early, but part is also based on Kentucky winning its first two games — and being only two wins from the Final Four, instead of the four it was at the start of the tourney.But what if we could isolate the effect of the upsets so far on a team’s chances? What if we had known before the tournament began that Kentucky would face Buffalo and Kansas State after opening with Davidson (avoiding Arizona and Virginia) and then face either Loyola-Chicago or Nevada in the Elite Eight (avoiding Tennessee and Cincinnati)? Given that information, Calipari’s team would have had a 21 percent chance per BPI to reach the Final Four,2FiveThirtyEight’s model doesn’t have “pre-bracket” predictions. a whopping 19 percentage point increase just because the right teams lost before Kentucky had to see them.So yes, the seas have parted for Kentucky in its region, but Gonzaga has arguably benefited more from circumstances outside of its control.Let’s do the same pre-tournament exercise with the Bulldogs. If we had known before the tournament that after the first round they would face Ohio State, Florida State and the winner of Michigan-Texas A&M, the Bulldogs would have received a modest boost (23 percent to 28 percent) to their Final Four chances, thanks to the losses of regional competitors like Xavier and North Carolina. They also would have received an increase to their title game and championship chances by 11 and 3 percentage points, respectively (compared with 8- and 2-point boosts for Kentucky).What’s helping out the Bulldogs so much? First, there’s the fact that Michigan — a worse team than Gonzaga, in BPI’s mind — is the toughest remaining out in the region for Mark Few’s squad. But then there’s this: In the Final Four, Gonzaga will basically reap all the same benefits that Kentucky received, getting to sidestep Virginia, Cincinnati, Tennessee and Arizona. At worst, the Bulldogs will face Kentucky, which is 3 points per game worse in team quality than Gonzaga on a neutral court, per BPI. If the schools met up in the Final Four, Gonzaga would have a 61 percent chance to win, according to the BPI model. In the best-case scenario for the Bulldogs, they would end up with one of the even more feeble options from the South region in Kansas State, Loyola-Chicago or Nevada.Is it cut and dried that Gonzaga has been more fortunate than Kentucky? No. But the numbers since the tournament began aren’t the whole story. See, Gonzaga’s chances also received a healthy bump from the selection committee’s layout of the bracket, which paved a relatively easy path for the Bulldogs en route to a possible trip to San Antonio — even if the bracket played to form. Before anyone had taken the court, Gonzaga’s chances to reach the Final Four increased by 14 percentage points over BPI’s pre-selection projections based on the teams it needed to get past in its region, so its Final Four chances in total have increased by 20 points (after rounding) overall. Meanwhile, the selection committee actually hurt Kentucky quite a bit, knocking its pre-selection Final Four chances down by 6 percentage points, meaning that outside forces improved the Wildcats’ Final Four chances by only 13 points. Clemson554-1 Florida St.111+1 Michigan131315+3 Kentucky8221+13 TeamPre-BracketPost-BracketPost-Bracket with Opp.overall Diff. So while the Wildcats have been lucky since the tournament began, they started out at a disadvantage. The same is true for a team like Duke, of course, whose current projection has benefited from Michigan State’s loss to Syracuse but whose original projection was hurt an awful lot by the Spartans’ nearby placement in the bracket. Duke and Villanova have seen slightly larger increases to their respective championship chances based on the bracket selection and other contenders’ losses relative to Gonzaga, but neither has been as positively affected as the Bulldogs in their chances to reach the Final Four or national championship game.If Gonzaga’s good fortune ends up helping to send the Washington school to the title game, it would not be unprecedented. Among all teams to reach the NCAA Tournament championship game since 2008, none benefited more from other teams losing than the 2017 Bulldogs, which faced No. 11 seed Xavier in the Elite Eight and No. 7 seed South Carolina in the Final Four. So while no one will feel sorry over Kentucky’s cushy path to the Final Four, it’s Gonzaga that — at least in the past two years — has had more luck on its side.Check out our latest March Madness predictions. read more

Football Ohio State assistant coach Zach Smith arrested for criminal trespassing

Ohio State wide receivers coach Zach Smith talks to junior wide receiver Eric Glover-Williams prior to fall camp on Aug. 5. Credit: Colin Hass-Hill | Sports Editor.Ohio State wide receivers coach Zach Smith will appear in court on Wednesday after he was arrested on May 12 for criminal trespassing, according to a Delaware County Municipal Court record. A spokesman for the Ohio State football team confirmed the information, but provided no additional comment on Smith’s arrest. Smith pleaded not guilty to the original charges. Smith is in his seventh season as the wide receivers coach at Ohio State and is also the recruiting coordinator. Smith spent five years at Florida under Ohio State head coach Urban Meyer as a graduate assistant and a quality control assistant. Smith is the grandson of former Ohio State head coach Earle Bruce. read more

Graham discusses move to Ipswich

first_imgIpswich Town have signed Jordan Graham from Wolverhampton Wanderers on a season-long loan.The winger is hoping his move to the Sky Bet Championship side will help rediscover his love for football.Graham has returns to Portman Road on loan from the Premier League new boys, having spent a similar temporary spell in Suffolk while an Aston Villa player in 2013/14.He has played just 28 games of senior football since then, though, with serious knee injury in 2016 halting his progress.“It’s been quite a tough couple of years for me and there hasn’t been much enjoyment in that time,” Graham said, according to East Anglican“I was doing really well before I got such a severe injury, which knocked it out of me for quite a while.”Premier LeaguePremier League Betting: Match-day 5 Stuart Heath – September 14, 2019 Going into the Premier League’s match-day five with a gap already beginning to form at the top of the league. We will take a…“I also want to be enjoying football and recapturing my love for it again. Coming here is the first part of achieving that. It has been difficult but Wolves know me and they know I play my best football when I’m happy.”“I find it hard when I’m not enjoying the environment I’m in. Being here with a few familiar faces that I know quite well and getting back to training and working hard, hopefully playing week in and week out, my best football will come back and everything will be alright again.”Graham is excited to be part of Paul Hurst’s squad and believes the style the new Ipswich boss is trying to play will suit his game, with the Blues sitting bottom of the Championship in no way putting him off.“I like what the manager is trying to do here, the way he is trying to play. It is quite a bit different from what Mick (McCarthy) was doing over the past few years here, so it was never going to happen straight away.last_img read more

Workers get April Fools Day Surprise Minimum Wage increase delayed

first_imgFacebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsAppProvidenciales, 31 Mar 2015 – Seems like a prank in time for April Fool’s Day with the announcement today that minimum wage will not take effect tomorrow, April 1st. There is now a six week delay in the start of minimum wage, which was expected to kick in tomorrow. This means no boost in hourly earnings by 25% as the Ministry of Border Control and Labour sent out a notice shortly before 2 pm that the increase is not legal until May 15 now. Hundreds of workers nationwide, including a lower percentage of staff in the government employ would have been anticipating the hike from $5.50 per hour to $6.25 per hour. Bahamas raising Minimum Wage by mid August Recommended for you New Long Bay High may be delayed says Minister New Minimum Wage in Effect for Turks and Caicos Related Items:april fool’s, delayed, increase, Minimum wage Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsApplast_img read more

New exploration shows parts of North Atlantic seabed were once above sea

first_img Extending for 3,861 square miles (10,000 square km) just north east of the Orkney-Shetland Islands, and about 1.2 miles (almost 2 kilometers) beneath the surface, the undersea terrain appears to have once existed above sea level, forming an island. By examining data from echo-sounding technology employed by contractors working for oil companies, maps of the ocean floor were able to be made. The maps constructed are 3-D in nature, and thus are able to show not just the ocean floor, but what lies beneath; hence its use in looking for oil. In looking at the maps, the researchers were able to see that beneath the layers of silt and other assorted debris, was a lost land of sorts, one that had been pushed up by the Icelandic Plume, or expansion of the mantle due to the hot magma below.The images constructed were sharp enough to allow the researchers to identify ancient rivers and mountain peaks and even some fossils, all from some 56 million years ago. The images also suggest that the ocean floor rose in three distinct stages of about 200-400 m each, creating the island which they believe lasted for about a million years, before once again disappearing beneath the cold waters of the North Atlantic Sea. White describes the seascape as appearing for all the world like that of a modern landscape.The echo-technology used by the contractors involved releasing highly pressurized air beneath the surface of the sea, which produced sound waves capable of passing through the ocean floor sediment. When the sound waves eventually bounced back, they were captured by microphones dragged behind a boat and fed into a computer to produce the 3-D images.The initial research team followed up on the 3-D imagery by taking core samples, some of which contained pollen and coal, suggesting land-dwelling life once existed there. The Cambridge team also found fossils indicating there was also a marine environment at one time.The research team thinks that the now sunken landscape is part of a much bigger region that at one time merged with modern Scotland and may have reached all the way to Norway. © 2010 PhysOrg.com Citation: New exploration shows parts of North Atlantic seabed were once above sea level (2011, July 12) retrieved 18 August 2019 from https://phys.org/news/2011-07-exploration-north-atlantic-seabed-sea.html Explore further This document is subject to copyright. Apart from any fair dealing for the purpose of private study or research, no part may be reproduced without the written permission. The content is provided for information purposes only. UNH-NOAA ocean mapping expedition yields new insights into arctic depths More information: Transient convective uplift of an ancient buried landscape, Nature Geoscience (2011) doi:10.1038/ngeo1191AbstractSedimentary basins in the North Atlantic Ocean preserve a record of intermittent uplift during Cenozoic times. These variations in elevation are thought to result from temperature changes within the underlying Icelandic mantle plume. When parts of the European continental shelf were episodically lifted above sea level, new landscapes were carved by erosion, but these landscapes then subsided and were buried beneath marine sediments. Here, we use three-dimensional seismic data to reconstruct one of these ancient landscapes that formed off the northwest coast of Europe during the Palaeocene–Eocene Thermal Maximum. We identify a drainage network within the landscape and, by modelling the profiles of individual rivers within this network, we reconstruct the history of surface uplift. We show that the landscape was lifted above sea level in a series of three discrete steps of 200–400 m each. After about 1 million years of subaerial exposure, this landscape was reburied. We use the magnitude and duration of uplift to constrain the temperature and velocity of a mantle-plume anomaly that drove landscape formation. We conclude that pulses of hot, chemically depleted, mantle material spread out radially beneath the lithospheric plate at velocities of ~35 cm yr−1. Image (c) R A Hartley et al./Nature Geoscience (2011) doi:10.1038/ngeo1191 (PhysOrg.com) — Using data obtained from oil searching contractors, researchers have discovered that parts of what is now the ocean floor off the northern coast of Scotland, were at one time raised up enough by thermal expansion beneath to have jutted at least 1 kilometer above the sea. Nicky White, senior researcher from the University of Cambridge and his team explain what they’ve found in their paper published in Nature Geoscience.last_img read more

Odisha goes Egyptian

Two diametrically opposite places – ancient Odisha and Egypt – gave Anupama Dayal the idea behind her collection that saw a mix and match between the two places. So her ensembles were called Giza dress [a halter necked long wrap dress with little colourful wheels], Cuttack tunic [a scarlet Dupion fitted dress with side slits and ikkat prints], Ra dress [long silk dress] and Jagannath sari [a graphic black and white printed red chanderi sari with choli].

All aspects to be probed Mamata

first_imgKolkata: Three days after the Kazipara blast killed an eight-year-old boy, chief minister Mamata Banerjee broke her public silence on the incident and said the CID had been asked to probe all aspects of the tragedy and nab those responsible. In response to a question on Tuesday’s blast, Mamata expressed her confidence in the CID’s capability of investigating it. “It is a serious matter, a little child died,” she said at a news conference on Friday evening, three days after some senior leaders of her party issued statements accusing the BJP-RSS camp of having engineered the blast. Also Read – Rain batters Kolkata, cripples normal life “The CID has been given charge of the investigation. We expect the CID to look into every aspect and take the accused into custody soon.” The chief minister’s comment followed a meeting of the core committee of Trinamul at the party’s headquarters. The CID has preliminarily deduced that an eight-inch iron pipe of four-inch diameter and one-mm thickness was used to make the bomb. (With inputs from The Telegraph)last_img read more

Officials in Latin America linked to Panama Papers

first_imgSÃO PAULO, Brazil — Various Latin American officials are among the world figures mentioned in the “Panama Papers” trove of leaked tax documents detailing suspect international financial dealings, reporters who analyzed the material found.The documents from the Panama-based law firm Mossack Fonseca, which helped set up the offshore companies, were obtained from an anonymous source by German daily Sueddeutsche Zeitung and shared with media worldwide by the International Consortium of Investigative Journalists (ICIJ).In Costa Rica, the investigative branch of AmeliaRueda.com, DATABASEAR, and the University of Costa Rica’s Semanario Universidad worked on the investigation. They found dozens of Costa Rican companies that have worked with the Panamanian firm Mossack Fonseca on offshore financial dealings, some designed to evade taxes in Costa Rica, which is in the midst of a long-standing fiscal crisis.BRAZILAt least 57 people already linked to Brazil’s huge Petrobras corruption scandal opened offshore companies through Mossack Fonseca, local media reported.The O Estado de São Paulo reported late Sunday that many of those companies were unknown in the anti-corruption “Operation Car Wash” surrounding Petrobras launched in 2014.Topping the list is a company that reportedly belongs to Eduardo Cunha, the speaker of the lower house of Brazil’s legislature and the man heading efforts to impeach President Dilma Rousseff.While Cunha’s name does not directly appear on the list, the Brazilian members of ICIJ looking at the leaked documents — UOL, O Estado de São Paulo and Rede TV — say that one of the companies is directly linked to Cunha.In a statement, Cunha vehemently denied the allegation, and challenged anyone to show his links to any offshore company.Separately, prosecutors last year charged Cunha with taking millions of dollars in bribes and hiding the money in Switzerland.Other Brazilians linked to the “Panama Papers” include a former cabinet minister and a former legislator.Unknown offshore companies belonging to firms linked to the Petrobras scandal have also surfaced. They include construction firm Odebrecht, whose former head, Marcelo Odebrecht, was sentenced in March to nearly 20 years in prison on corruption charges.ARGENTINAPresident Mauricio Macri, his father, and brother Mariano were on the board of directors of an offshore company registered in the Bahamas since 1998, the daily La Nación reported. The company was in operation until 2009, two years into Macri’s tenure as Buenos Aires mayor.In a statement, the government said that Macri was never a stakeholder in the company, even though he was “circumstantially” its CEO.Aside from football megastar Lionel Messi, other prominent Argentines linked to the “Panama Papers” include a former private secretary to the late ex-president Néstor Kirchner (2003-2007) and a senior aide to Macri when the president was Buenos Aires mayor.MEXICOJuan Armando Hinojosa Cantu, one of Mexico’s richest tycoons and head of the Higa business group hid at least $100 million in offshore companies that stretch to New Zealand, according to the website Aristegui Noticias.The money was moved via companies created by Mossack Fonseca using the name of Hinojosa’s mother and mother in law, the website said.In late 2014 Aristegui Noticias reported that one of Hinojosa’s companies provided a lavish mansion for the wife of President Enrique Peña Nieto. After the news broke the first lady said she repaid the builder with earnings from her days as a telenovela star.When the government exonerated Peña Nieto for a possible conflict of interest in the case in 2015, Hinojosa transferred millions of dollars to offshore companies in New Zealand, Aristegui Noticias said.Other Mexicans linked to the “Panama Papers” include an oil company contractor, politicians, a popular actress, and people linked to drug cartels, the magazine Proceso reported.PERUTwo major supporters of Keiko Fujimori — who is leading the polls in Peru’s upcoming presidential election — have undeclared interests in offshore companies set up by Mossack Fonseca, according to the news website Ojo Público.Others linked with offshore companies set up by the Panamanian firm include Peru’s leading timber company as well as three renowned local chefs, Ojo Publico said. Facebook Comments Related posts:Iceland premier resigns in Panama Papers scandal Panama Papers: secret accounts of the rich and powerful Panama and ‘Panama Papers’ law firm under the media’s lenses Panama Papers scandal cracks open window for Costa Rica tax reformlast_img read more

Rep Hornberger votes on legislation to support veterans

first_img Measure also applies to fraternal organizations Categories: Hornberger News,News State Rep. Pamela Hornberger today joined her House colleagues in voting for legislation allowing national veterans club members and other service clubs to buy alcoholic drinks in any affiliated out-of-town club.Hornberger, of Chesterfield Township, co-sponsored the legislation, which was prompted by a recent Liquor Control Commission ruling that brought an end to the custom.“Our veterans have done so much for their nation, and deserve an opportunity to join their colleagues at clubs with which they are affiliated across the state,” Hornberger said. “Service organizations such as the Eagles or Moose perform vital services in many of our communities and should be afforded the same opportunity. This is a time-honored tradition and should be allowed to continue.”The bill was necessary after the Liquor Control Commission interpreted a law by ruling only members of the local club could buy drinks at that location.The measure now goes to the Senate for consideration.#####The legislation is House Bill 5260.center_img 07Mar Rep. Hornberger votes on legislation to support veteranslast_img read more